[It's Finally Here!] Q4 2025 Market Update: Growth, Stabilisation & Opportunity

WineFi’s Q4 2025 Wine Market Report: Now Live 📊

We are excited to share our Q4 2025 Wine Market Report. The latest data reveals a distinct shift in market conditions, marking what looks to be a pivotal turning point for the asset class.

👉 VIEW THE FULL QUARTERLY REPORT HERE

Following a challenging period of correction, Q4 delivered tangible signs of recovery - from consecutive quarters of index growth to renewed liquidity across the board. The numbers suggest the market is moving firmly into stabilisation, offering a compelling entry point for investors as we head into 2026.

Key Headlines

Consecutive Growth: The WineFi Trade Price Index is up for the second quarter in a row (+1.07%).

Inventory Clearing: The decline in list prices has halved (-1.25% vs -2.98% previously), showing seller pressure is fading.

Buyers Returning: Bid:Offer Ratios improving and auction clearance rates hit 100% at major Q4 sales (Christie's & Hart Davis Hart).

Liquidity Improving: The gap between buyers and sellers (trade discount) has tightened to just 1.2% - far better than the 15-year average of 6.5%.

👉 VIEW THE FULL QUARTERLY REPORT HERE

[Q4 Report] View from the Investment Committee

A snapshot from Matthew Small, Head of Investment:

Momentum: "Q4 saw a continuation of the positive market momentum first observed in Q3... something we have not seen in over three years."

Confidence: "List prices continued to stabilise... reflecting improving merchant confidence as excess inventory is gradually worked through."

Outlook: "We expect continued market stabilisation in the first half of 2026, followed by a gradual and measured recovery supported by easing interest rates."

👉 VIEW MATTHEW’S FULL ANALYSIS HERE

[Q4 Report] Headline Charts

The Recovery Signal (Trade Price Index)

The Chart: WineFi Trade Price Index (Page 5)

The Trend: For the first time in over three years, trade prices have trended upwards for two consecutive quarters.

Key Stat: +1.07% growth in Q4.

Market Conditions Improving (Risers & Fallers)

The Chart: List Price Risers and Fallers (Page 7)

The Trend: The number of wines dropping in price is shrinking rapidly.

Key Stat: Only 20% of wines fell in price this quarter (down from ~38% a year ago). 80% of the market is now stable or rising.

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👉 View Webinar Recording